cara agar cepat hamil weigh loss factor : Juni 2012

Kamis, 28 Juni 2012

Individuals, Aggregates, and the Affordable Care Act

Supreme Court Chief Justice John G. Roberts
Today was a big day at the Supreme Court, which has just issued its ruling on Obamacare. For those who are interested, you can get a transcript of the court's opinion here.

Needless to say, the case has attracted a lot of attention. But I'd like to bring one issue to the fore that, to my mind, has not received enough attention. 

One way to think about the polarized debate regarding the Affordable Care Act is that it pits the individual against the community. Proponents of the law see it as an attempt to fix the health care system as a whole. They worry that our premiums are too high, that Medicare is on a fast track to insolvency, and that insurance companies refuse to cover pre-existing conditions. Critics, on the other hand, tend to dwell on what it will mean for individual consumers of health care. They worry about limiting individual care, that bureaucrats will get in between doctors and their patients, and that I will have to pay for my neighbor's unhealthy lifestyle.

There's a way in which this very basic dynamic plays itself out in today's Supreme Court decision as well.


As most of you have probably heard, John G. Roberts joined a liberal majority in upholding the law. In his opinion, however, Roberts argued the individual mandate (which requires virtually all Americans to obtain health insurance) does not fall under Congress' power to regulate interstate commerce. Rather, it is only constitutional if we construe it as a tax. On p. 32, he reasoned that

"Under the mandate, if an individual does not maintain health insurance, the only consequence is that he must make an additional payment to the IRS when he pays his taxes. That, according to the Government, means the mandate can be regarded as establishing a condition—not owning health insurance—that triggers a tax—the required payment to the IRS. Under that theory, the mandate is not a legal command to buy insurance. Rather, it makes going without insurance just another thing the Government taxes, like buying gasoline or earning income."

Why does the individual mandate not fall under Congress' power to regulate interstate commerce?  Roberts' argument has to do with the word "regulate." 

According to Roberts, congress can REGULATE the behavior of people engaged in interstate commerce, or engaged in activities that have an impact on interstate commerce, but it cannot COMPEL people to engage in commercial activities. Moreover, the refusal to purchase insurance is not a commercial activity, rather it is the absence of a commercial activity. Drawing on an analogy that has been bandied about a lot lately, Roberts concludes that Congress cannot compel people to purchase insurance just as it cannot compel people to eat broccoli, even though doing so clearly has individual and public health benefits.

What I want to focus here is an extremely striking admission that Roberts makes on p. 24 of his opinion:

"To an economist, perhaps, there is no difference between activity and inactivity; both have measurable economic effects on commerce. But the distinction between doing something and doing nothing would not have been lost on the Framers, who were “practical statesmen,” not metaphysical philosophers."

I found this one of the most interesting passages in the whole ruling. Is Roberts basically saying that if you think about it hard enough -- if you take a philosophical perspective -- a refusal to engage in commercial activity is itself a kind of commercial activity?  But that the people who wrote the constitution did not think through the issue in such a thoroughgoing way, and therefore we ought not to do so either?

Not quite, obviously.  But many still feel that Roberts' opinion is willfully obtuse.  As Ruth Bader Ginsburg (joined by Sotomayor, Breyer, and Kagan) argues in her concurring dissent, the Affordable Care Act does not actually compel anyone to join the market for health care.  That's because people are already in that market, whether they like it or not.

Here's the most interesting part of Ginsberg's argument with Roberts:

"THE CHIEF JUSTICE does not dispute that all U. S. residents participate in the market for health services over the course of their lives. But, THE CHIEF JUSTICE insists, the uninsured cannot be considered active in the market for health care, because “[t]he proximity and degree of connection between the [uninsured today] and [their] subsequent commercial activity is too lacking.”

And she continues,

"This argument has multiple flaws. First, more than 60% of those without insurance visit a hospital or doctor’s office each year. Nearly 90% will within five years. An uninsured’s consumption of health care is thus quite proximate: It is virtually certain to occur in the next five years and more likely than not to occur this year."

There is something very significant, I think, about the fact that Ginsburg argues in terms of percentages whereas Roberts argues about the difference between regulation and compulsion.  Percentages are about aggregates -- communities -- whereas Roberts' distinction is about individual freedom.

If we think about commerce as behavior in which individuals can choose to engage, then Roberts' distinction between activity and inactivity makes some sense.  There really is a difference between regulating someone's commercial activities and compelling them to engage in commerce.  But if we think about the issue at a higher level -- that of the community, or of an entire economy -- the distinction looses most of its traction. 

Roberts is no fool, and he recognized this point.  I think that's what he meant when he admitted that "To an economist, perhaps, there is no difference between activity and inactivity; both have measurable economic effects on commerce."  Which is why I found his statement about the framers being "practical men" rather than "philosophers" so amazing!

Rabu, 20 Juni 2012

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Minggu, 10 Juni 2012

Hand Dryers and Brand Ascent

Something weird is going on with hand dryers.


Over the last few years, I've found myself talking about hand dryers more and more – mostly in bars. This never happened before, and it's largely based on the success of two new brands: Excel's Xlerator (featured above) and the Dyson Air Blade (below). 

Time was, hand dryers were terrible, and the only argument for using them (over paper towels) was an environmental one. Most people didn't notice differences between the various dryers they encountered almost daily, nor did they notice their deficiencies in an explicit way.

Now, as the internet and anecdotal evidence attest, people do take notice. They recognize particular ones (Dyson and Xlerator) – or, just as often, their absence. 


This is an interesting case of how products and innovations get "branded." That's a general process scholars of technology have written about, but in conversations with a few of them I haven't turned up anything quite like what's going on with hand dryers: 

An array of "anonymous" alternatives, disrupted by an innovation (higher air-pressure) by a few companies, quickly raising brand-consciousness and shifting the landscape of user experience. 

Diversity ... displaced?

First, customers and users mean different things. Restaurant owners buy dryers – they're Dyson's customers – while the restaurant's customers use them. This raises a question about buyer motivation: why would you shell out $400 (Xlerator) or $1400 (Air Blade)? 

One reason might be indirect savings. All hand dryers save on paper, trash, and cleaning, which add up. But why spend $1400 rather than $100? Well, the expensive ones save on electricity, which adds up, too. But that doesn't seem to get us there. Are restaurant customers, encountering an Air Blade, likely to spend more money or return more often? It's unlikely hand dryers would be an explicit reason, but attractive amenities probably positively impact money-in (and not just reduce money-out).

Are fancy hand dryers the new fancy cotton towels?
Second, I'm still thinking through how this late-branding phenomenon relates to a more familiar one, referred to as "proprietary eponyms" or "generic trademarks." This is what we call Kleenex and Band-Aid – trademarked products – becoming generic terms.

That's not what's going on here – or at least not yet. Instead, it's kind of the opposite process; new, recognizable names mean users are attuned to differences in a way they weren't. This could go lots of ways: further product differentiation (with more new, recognizable brands), or copy-catting. The latter happening – all hand dryers start to act more like Xlerators, say – is a condition of possibility for the rise of "Xlerator" as a generic trademark.

For my money, things probably won't go that way. But with dryers capturing attention and creating loyalties, we might see a more rapid decline in the use of paper towels, and even a luxury line of dryers fit for rooms like the one above. And if that happens – and even if it doesn't – I think we might see a new home invasion, with (rich) people installing these at home. You might not agree, but it's at least thinkable – in a way it wasn't, not too long ago. 

If that happens, it will be due in no small part to attractive design, which is something no user paid attention to, in this industry, a decade ago. The link between (technological) innovation and (aesthetic) design is a thorny one for scholars of technology – for which hand dryers might be taken up as an interesting case. 

Sabtu, 09 Juni 2012

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Rabu, 06 Juni 2012

101 Dieting tips Part 2

The 5-Factor Diet was originally created for celebrities. Harley was challenged to create brief (yet incredibly effective) workouts for actors, while training them during their short breaks on movie sets. In addition, he needed to create healthy meals in a matter of minutes (literally), using simple ingredients (the fewer the better) that could fit in the mini fridge on a set. Oh, and did we mention that he was relying on a blender and toaster oven for the mixing, blending, and cooking? Harley's clients were eating five times a day, cutting the length of their workouts, and transforming their bodies! As the saying goes, necessity is the mother of invention.

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Senin, 04 Juni 2012

"New Crittercism"

This morning I enjoyed listening to Carla Nappi interviewing Graham Burnett about his book The Sounding of the Whale (previously mentioned here) on the New Books in STS podcast. The whole thing is worth the listen, but I was struck by Burnett's offhand use of the phrase the "new crittercism." He has used it before, attributing it in Trying Leviathan to "an irreverent colleague." Today, it called to mind our on-going discussions (begun, more or less, here) about the ways in which environmental history and HOS/STS are growing more closely together. The "new crittercism" marginalizes this trend, it seems to me, for all its charm, while our conversations (HOTeES or HotMeSs) have tended to go in the opposite directions. In the podcast, Burnett distances his book, with the faintest apology, from those that privilege the agency of animals or other non-humans in their narratives.